AnalyticsAccumulated Hypothetical Revenue Since 2020
Same scenario model as the dashboard ledger — broken down by country and by named company.
HYPOTHETICAL TOTAL, 2020 → NOW
$75,135,665
Modeled estimate (2020 → deployment): $75,135,665 · Real logged passes since deployment: 0 ($0)
Cumulative modeled total, year by year
* Hypothetical scenario — not real revenue. The last year is pro-rated up to the platform start date.
MODELED YEARLY BREAKDOWN
Active satellites per year (model input)
×5.0
Growth since 2020
≈ 31%
average annual growth
Green: year over year
Publicly reported year-end estimates, rounded (see lib/historicalModel.ts). The last bar is the current estimate.
| Year | Active satellites (est.) | Modeled annual revenue |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 3,300 | $3,951,771 |
| 2021 | 4,800 | $5,732,325 |
| 2022 | 6,700 | $8,001,370 |
| 2023 | 9,300 | $11,106,380 |
| 2024 | 11,800 | $14,130,574 |
| 2025 | 14,000 | $16,719,281 |
| 2026 | 16,500 | $15,493,964 |
By Country
Modeled using each country's total active-satellite exposure (all operators combined), not just named companies.
Russia$3.07B
United States$1.72B
Germany$161.5M
Serbia$75.2M
By Company (Over Serbia)
Restricted to operators with well-documented historical satellite counts — unclassified/unknown objects are excluded rather than estimated.
Starlink (SpaceX)$42.1M
OneWeb$4.1M
Iridium NEXT$536K
Combined (known companies): $46.7M
Method: yearly active-satellite counts × $25/pass × 75% coverage factor × 15 orbits/day × (country longitude span ÷ 360°), summed 2020 through today. See lib/historicalModel.ts and docs/COMPANY_REVENUE_MODEL.md for the full assumptions and how to regenerate these numbers.